The Wealth of the Nation: Observation #3


Rambo BillboardJust like every other New Yorker, I have experienced the rush of LIE's giant billboard ads coming at me on the way out of and into the Midtown Tunnel on numerous occasions.  You cannot really avoid the experience – there are just too many possibilities that can draw you that way: JFK, LaGuardia, US Open at Flushing Meadows, its next-door neighbors the Mets, your relatives in Queens, your suburban friends with their Near Long Island homes, and maybe even rich acquaintances with summer residences in the Hamptons.  Hey, it's possible you just like sitting in traffic for hours.  Whatever is the reason, the majority of people who live in or visit NYC have been exposed to the visual calls of various brands, upcoming movies, TV seasons' premiers, etc. strategically positioned on that particular spot between the boroughs.

Liberal extremists and snooty hipsters unconditionally reject all forms of commercial publicity as the front-end of consumerism (yet, they all support it by the sheer fact of having facebook accounts and iPhones).  But I'm no hypocrite – I don't simplistically dismiss advertising and even consumerism itself as evil.  In full honesty: quality objects are quite necessary in my life for aesthetic, utilitarian, vain, and psycho-therapeutic reasons.  Quality being an operative word, of course.  Unfortunately, the majority of contemporary promotions target general public that cannot afford quality anymore.  And it has been reflected on the ever-changing billboards.

Over the years I've experienced a broad spectrum of reactions to the images coming into my view on LIE.  At worst, they've ranged from "Who the hell is this ad for?  Billionaires?" to "God, that's just cheap and ugly!"  And at best, I have been pleasantly surprised by the resurrection of a high quality classic (Longines); awed by the first digital installation (FreshDirect); excited by the success of a small business (7 for All Mankind – unfortunately, they sold out to a global conglomerate VF within a couple of years); inspired by the social changes we have witnessed (Queer As Folk).    

Sadly, in the last couple of years my reaction range narrowed to one very intense sliver of irritation, but at least the billboards were largely occupied as recently as four months ago.  Imagine my surprise last weekend when I saw that less than 50% of the boards were actually covered by promo bills.  I don't think I've ever seen them like that.              

No, wait!  There was a period back in, I believe, 2012 when a lot of ads had to be taken down and boards dismantled due to the strict enforcement of the billboard laws related to the size and distance requirements.  But it is safe to assume that both the space owners and advertisers overcame the regulation hurdles, since, as I said, I just recently saw practically all billboards occupied.

So, that's not it.  What then?  Two things, really – the national impoverishment and the incurable social-media degeneracy.

You see, the billboards are not cheap.  It's not Super Bowl prices ($4.5 million for a 30-second spot this year), but still – an LIE billboard rents for about $30K per month.  And that's at the time when every single company that targets the consumer market with its goods or services MUST make room in their advertising budgets for GoogleAds (which also owns YouTube), iAds, facebook, Twitter, etc.  

Multiply that consideration by the wavering consumer confidence (I don't care what the "official" numbers are showing) compounded with the dwindling buying power and you come to the point when even the companies selling the highest volumes of consumer goods have to start making tough choices: whether to allocate $300K per year to a physical spot with a maximum of 210,000 possible views a day (LIE's 2014 auto throughput) or to a virtual spot tied to some viral YouTube video that generates 5 million views in 5 days. 

The empty spots along the expressway testify to the choices the companies are making.  It's totally opportunistic, of course.  Moreover, from my POV it's also totally short-sighted – there are so many existing and potential problems with online advertising, I intend to write a separate post on the subject.  It is possible that we are yet to see the times when advertisers will be fighting for the physical publicity spaces.  But for now, more and more billboards along the highways and on the City's buildings will go empty. 

I have a feeling that even the famous and fabulous digital screens at one of the most visited places in the world (50 million visitors a year), Times Square, may end up going dark at some point.  After all, nowadays the tourists and locals alike are mostly looking down at their electronic devices, not up.  So, it would be only fiscally prudent for the consumer-oriented companies to spend $1M-$4M a year (2015 rates) some place else.

And I find it very telling that the most gigantic (the whole block, 77 feet tall by 323 feet long, 20 pixels big) and the most expensive ($2.5 million for EVERY 4 WEEKS) LED advertising screen was taken by the company that makes billions on online advertising – Google.  They can actually afford it easily. 

Of course, the blank billboards are good news for graffiti artists like Rambo – more real estate for them! There is a poetic justice in that: the promotion of consumerism gets replaced by the guerrilla art.  Historically, the explosion of street art always went hand-in-hand with the economic downfalls.  That's why in the past it frequently (and expediently) turned into Prop Art – going from philosophical expressionism straight into political activism.  People should remember that as a valuable lesson in social science. 

In my opinion, it's not accidental that the crumbling of our ecological and socioeconomic environments coincides with the aesthetic degradation we are experiencing right now – when people bow to false idols and nepotistic, masturbatory garbage is passed as the "contemporary art" by the pushers from auction houses and big-name galleries.  I can only hope that real artists will fulfill their soul-changing mission and force people to look away from their little crack-emitting handheld displays and up at something awesome and powerful.          

Quote of the Week: “Orange Is the New Black” Checks Off Nepotism on Its List of Life’s Wrongs


 

Joe-Caputo_0Joe Caputo (Litchfield Penitentiary's Assistant to the Warden):  The fish stinks from the head.  And I'm not the head!  I am actually down by the gills somewhere.  So, once I call the police and US Marshals; and the DOC investigators start sniffing around, it's going to look a lot worse for the 'Director of Human Activity' here at Litchfield!

Danny Pearson (MCC appointed Director of Human Activity):  Whoa!

Caputo:(ironically) Whoa!

Pearson:  Whoa!

Caputo:  Whoa!

Pearson:  Whoa! Yeah…

Caputo:  Whoa, whoa, whoa! Yeah!

Pearson:  Slow down!  Why do we have to involve all those people?

Caputo:  We have an escaped convict!!!

Pearson:  Let's just go get her back!

Caputo:  Who?

Pearson: You and me.  Where did they take her?

Caputo:  The bus station in Utica.

Pearson:  Let's just get into a car.  We'll go get her, bring her back. Yeah!  Nobody has to know.

Caputo:  So, you're saying, the two of us should go and apprehend an escaped convict?  This is not The Fucking Bloodhound Gang!  Okay?

Pearson:  Well, I don't know what to do!  I honestly don't know what the fuck to do!  Do you know how I got this job?  My Dad is one of the SVP's at MCC.

Caputo:  (smirks and nods his head in full comprehension and disgust)

Pearson Yeah…  This is going to be worse than when I got kicked out of Ohio University…  I have no idea what I'm doing..

Caputo Fine.  I'll go.  On my own.

The Frustrated CFO's Comment:Most shows experience some sort of a slump in the third season – the story exhausts itself, the characters become too familiar, writers run out of surprising ideas.  Not this show, though!  This 3rd season!  It's so good, some critics and viewers rate it higher than the fist two!  There is so much excellent, nuanced stuff!  And this Caputo guy, who got promoted by the producers into a main character – I painfully relate to his plight of never-ending bad decisions.  There are always insults added to his injuries: not only that he gets a new boss, but it's somebody's useless offspring on top of it.  You just know, there is no happy ending for Caputo – he'll never get out of prison.

 

Quote of the Week: Mike Judge, the Prophet


“Data creation is exploding.  With all the selfies and useless files people refuse to delete on the Cloud – 92% of the world’s data was created in the last two years alone.  At the current rate, the world’s data storage capiacity will be overtaken by next Spring.  It will be nothing short of a catastrophe: data shortages, data rationing, data black markets…  Datageddon!”

                            Gavin Belson, founder & CEO of Hooli, Inc.

                    (Silicon Valley, co-created by Mike Judge, episode 2.1)

The Frustrated CFO’s commentary:  For years now, the genius that lives in my home has been responding to all innovations of information technology with the same mantra: “As long as the servers can bear it.”  I humbly concur.  And it is reassuring that exactly the same sentiments are finally being verbalized through a pop-culture medium, such as HBO.  It is especially awesome and scary that this confirmation of the imminent future comes courtesy of the prophetic marvel Mike Judge – the one third of, what I call, the Trinity of the Eye-Opening Truth (Trey Parker, Matt Stone, and Mike Judge).  It’s scary because the man possesses  Cassandra‘s foresight: In 2006 when the incredible cult classic Idiocracy came out, it was written off by distributors as a campy sci-fi; eight years later people started creating lists of Mike Judge’s predictions that already came true: on birth rates, on advertising, on entertainment, on language, on political process, etc.  Not everyone is as fortunate as I am to have a warning oracle at home.   Hence, they should pay attention to Mr. Judge and his collaborators.      

Mad Max vs. Fat Amy, or Sad Accounting of Regressive Tastes


Sad Accounting

Generally speaking, all benchmarking techniques can be defined as ranking of a process or a product against another process or a product with similar specific metrics of known values.  Financial benchmarking in particular focuses on the comparison of the financial results with a purpose of assessing overall competitiveness and productivity.  The beauty of this research tool is in its potential to uncover some underlying reasons behind the comparative results.

While it's difficult (yet not impossible) to apply generic correlative methodologies to such subjective, ambiguously immeasurable, and predominantly qualitative characteristics as artistic values of cinematic products, fiscal aspects of the movie-making are not only comparable (as previously outlined in Arts & Entertainment by the Numbers III), at this point they are the chief driving force behind the big-screen output.  It's that competitiveness, y'all!  "C.r.e.a.m get the money.  Dolla Dolla bill y'all."    

Let's not forget that financial results are accounting reflections of the micro-economic patterns of supply and demand.  Movies, being consumer products, specifically depend on the behavior of the consumer market; even more categorically - on the tastes of the viewing audience.

With that in mind, I would like to sketch out a simplified financial benchmarking exercise based on the most recent installments of two movie franchises (identical products competing in the same markets) that came out on the same day, 05/15/15 (another identical metric) - Mad Max: Fury Road (a terrifyingly believable upgrade of the post-apocalyptic high-octane series with Tom Hardy, Charlize Theron, and Nicholas Hoult) and Pitch Perfect 2 (a hard-to-believe Cinderella-type contemporary chick-flick-with-singing about an a capella group on the road to stardom with Anna Kendrick, Rebel Wilson, and Elizabeth Banks; the latter also produced and directed).

Mad Max opened on more screens: 3702 vs. 3473, yet Pitch Perfect 2 made $69.2 million (230% of its rumored $30 mil budget) during the opening weekend – $23.8 mil more than Mad Max whose $45.4 mil barely returned 30% of its $150 mil budget.  Here, in our blessed USA, the fiscal gap between the two movies keeps only expanding: As of yesterday, Mad Max's domestic gross ($143 mil) was already trailing Pitch Perfect 2's by $34 mil. 

Numbers don't  lie: A handful of them is all we need to clearly show that American general public prefers to see a movie full of inexplicable plot turns and dialogue pearls akin to

"Fat Amy: Listen, I don't want you guys to fight.  You're Beca and Chloe, together you're Bhloe and everyone loves a good Bhloe."

instead of taking a hard and honest look at the future that already awaits us around the proverbial corner, notwithstanding the high cinematic standards, tight script, awesome directions in all divisions of the process, and NO CGI (!!!)

Of course, making back multiples of the budget and fattening the pockets of producers and distributers pretty much guaranteed Pitch Perfect 3, which is already set to be released in 2017.  On the other hand, if people behind Mad Max: Fury Road had to rely only on the US distribution, the $7 mil deficit would pretty much kill all the chances for the filming of the next installment - Mad Max: The WastelandThankfully, there are international distribution channels.

And overseas results are quite opposite to what we observe here at home.  The universal appeal of Mad Max's sci-fi realism yielded the film $202.5 mil of foreign revenues, making the total box office as of yesterday $346.10 mil. 

On the other hand, I can't even imagine how translators deal with that Bhloe crap in the subtitles.  So, it is not surprising that Pitch Perfect 2 made only $94.5 mil outside of US, with 51% of that coming from English-speaking countries of UK, Australia, New Zealand, and the Netherlands.  In many countries the movie stayed in the theaters only for the opening weekend.    As the result, its worldwide box office now totals $272 mil, or $74.1 mil less than its competitor in this example. 

That's gross, of course.  Nowadays, it's hard to overcome a $120 mil budgetary differential.  Thus, the singing chicks are still $46K more profitable than the depiction of our damaged Planet and her marred inhabitants.

One can argue that today $150 mil worth of resources is too high of a price for any movie, good or bad.  And I agree, but spending any resources at all over and over again on crap that furthers the process of human degeneration is simply criminal.

Quote of the Week: Amidst Silly Shenanigans “The Blacklist” Sometimes Hits the Truth on the Head


Reddington and Tuzik"They are… part of a global conspiracy; a shadow organization that spans across every continent and has for the last three decades; consisting of leaders in world governments and the private sector.  Some call this group the Cabal.  The world you live in is the world they want you to think you live in.  They start wars; create chaos; and, when it suits them, they resolve it.  Cabal members will move more money in the next quarter than the World Bank will in the next year.  Their alliance affects a sea of change in every aspects of human life.  The value and distribution of commodities, money, weapons, water, fuel, the food we eat to live, the information we rely on to tell us who we are."

                                                            The Blacklist, episode 2.22

                                           Written by  John Eisendrath and Jon Bokenkamp

The Frustrated CFO's Note (to explain the post's title): It's impossible for an intelligent person to take the action-packed storytelling about spies and secret agents at face value, even if the writers manage to sneak in ideas and opinions that resonate with one's own political, social, and world views, which frequently happens on The Blacklist.  The very basis of a good thriller about things that are "known only to a few" is that shit is mostly made up.  Luc Besson once said that La Femme Nikita and Leon: The Professional were as much sci-fi creations as The Fifth Element.  What pushed The Blacklist into the shenanigans territory for me was the recycling of the "unknowing daughter of the KGB agent-mother" plot turn.  I guess it's difficult for J.R. Orci to shake off the Alias baggage.